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Showing posts from June, 2019

Risk management lessons from DHFL Stock

Dhfl , a quality stock with good track record  delivered phenomenal returns from 2016 to Aug. 2018. But things changed thereafter . the month of September , 2018 changed things upside down . during this month , the scrip opened at 669 , made high of 691 , then started crashing down , made a low of 252 and closed at 274 . all this happed in a time span of one month . With the benefit of hindsight , one lesson from this episode is to have a pre determined exit level. Before entering a trade for whatever timeframe ( be it one day or 10 years ) , its important to have exit levels , analysis of risk . etc . if these things are thought beforehand , one can let the profits run , with less bothering. Many traders/investors think that , the falling stock will rebound from these levels but 95% or more of the time , the stock price does not . again they think , this time it will rebound from such levels  , but that too doesn't happen . this fantasy goes on , until their loss becomes very hu

Pc jewellers QnA

The stock recorded an all time high of 600 in late 2018. After that it crashed down due to some negative news . as of may 31 , the scrip trades at 77 i.e. stock depreciated about 87% , making it one of the worst performing stock. However , Pc jewellers delivered a return of around 100% in April , 2019 ( movement from 80 to 163 ) but again depreciated in may and currently trades at 77 . for some time , its likely to stay in the range of 40 - 80 with some random unsustainable spikes. Q ) Pc jewellers by 2020 ? Most probably in the range of 40-80 , unless major restructuring . Q ) How will it again reach its all time high ? The stock should rise gradually till the levels of around 250 as it did in 2014 - 16 . major resistance will be in the range of 250 - 280. Once it crosses this range with good momentum , the next stop perhaps may be the all time high . but this journey might take about 5-8 years . Q ) Entry signal i